Steps to AI

The phrase "Artificial Intelligence" (AI) has been used to describe computer programs that can perform sophisticated, autonomous operations, and it has been used for decades. (One wag puts it as "artificial intelligence is twenty years away... always".)

Along with AI we have the term "Machine Learning" (ML). Are they different? Yes, but the popular usages make no distinction. And for this post, I will consider them the same.

Use of the term waxes and wanes. The AI term was popular in the 1980s and it is popular now. Once difference between the 1980s and now: we may have enough computing power to actually pull it off.

Should anyone jump into AI? My guess is no. AI has preconditions, things you should be doing before you start with a serious commitment to AI.

First, you need a significant amount of computing power. Second, you need a significant amount of human intelligence. With AI and ML, you are teaching the computer to make decisions. Anyone who has programmed a computer can tell you that this is not trivial.

It strikes me that the necessary elements for AI are very similar to the necessary elements for analytics. Analytics is almost the same as AI - analyzing large quantities of data - except it uses humans to interpret the data, not computers. Analytics is the predecessor to AI. If you're successful at analytics, then you are ready to move on to AI. If you haven't succeeded (or even attempted) at analytics, you're not ready for AI.

Of course, one cannot simply jump into analytics and expect to be successful. Analytics has its own prerequisites. Analytics needs data, the tools to analyze the data and render it for humans, and smart humans to interpret the data. If you don't have the data, the tools, and the clever humans, you're not ready for analytics.

But we're not done with levels of prerequisites! The data for analytics (and eventually AI) has its own set of preconditions. You have to collect the data, store the data, and be able to retrieve the data. You have to understand the data, know its origin (including the origin date and time), and know its expiration date (if it has one). You have to understand the quality of your data.

The steps to artificial intelligence are through data collection, metadata, and analytics. Each step has to be completed before you can advance to the next level. (Much like the Capability Maturity Model.) Don't make the mistake of starting a project without the proper experience in place.